The 25-year Bet About Technology

-Kevin Kelly was born in Pennsylvania 1952, and he is the founding executive editor of Wired magazine. He was also a former editer and publisher for the Whole Earth Review. He started his career mainly by editing and starting up his own magazine. Whole Earth found his work and was hired in 1983. -Kirkpatrick Sale is widley known for his "bioregionalism". This led to his development in books, regualar radio, and broadcasts. Kirkpatrick attended Cornell Univsersity, the family insstituition. He first started his studied as hitsory, but sought intrerst in journalism. Sale incountered a protest where school administrators were in charge of moral probity. He was enraged by this proposal, so he got 15,000 people to demonstrate unchaperoned coeds from off-campus parties. Sale was suspended and so was his roomate. -The main conflict between the two was that Kelly had just read an upciming book, called Rebels Agaisnt the Future. Sales adored the Luddites. In 1995 major companies were just starting to come around like, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft. Sales believed that we are moving too fast and complaining about moderninity. He believed that technology would make life worse for humans. Kelly hates Sale's book and was insulting the sense of the world. They ended up pulling a meeting for ach other with a tape recorderand started a brawl. They were arguring about the Amish, forests and the impact of technology on work, and how some things could not make anyother way. And of course, Sales argued that our society is only collapsing. -Sales wrote in his book how he predicited when society would collapse. He predicited that it would be no more than a few decades. Kelly believed in the opposite and challenges Sakle exactly when this would hapen.They bet on the year 2020. Kelly went to Sale's apartment and wrote out 1,000$ check that was joint account with his wife. He said "I bet you 1,000$ that in the year 2020, we're not even close to the kind of disaster you describe." -Econmic collapse- Sale predicited flatly that the dollar and other accepted currencies would be worthless in 2020. Now there are new electronic currency such as Bitcoin. -Global Enviromental Disaster- Kelly argued the worsening of climate change. Fires, floods, bugs, diseases etc. the only way to solve these large growing issues fast and effienctly is with technology. -The War Between the Rich and Poor- Sales worried about the inequailty on social status. The article states that he would be even more shocked to see how it is today. -“Kirk must hit the trifecta to win, meaning that all three horses of his apocalypse must come through,” Patrick wrote. “Only one of his predictions was a winner; one came in neck and neck; and one was way back in the pack.” On December 31, Patrick declared Kelly in the winner in an email to the bettors.I agree with the turnout on the bet. Kelly hit more points when staying true to the decided topic. - I think other areas that should have been affected was the econmy. Malls, offices, work places are running people out of their jobs because everything is moving digital. ANother thing that should have been covered was schooling. Professors, courses and homework is now AI generated, so how true and accurate is it? I would include ecomony and global disater as welll in my judgement. -A couple of changes I think that will happen in the next 25 years will be a lot. I think our world is moving really fast and I think there will be drones flying packages and grocies to people's houses. I feel like there will be brain chips to where you can make phone calls through your mind or text people. I also think robots or AI will take over counters, phones and workers.